Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 63.8%
Defensive zone
Richards 84.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 74.3%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Richards
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
18
(41 meetings)
23
18
Richards
Gagner
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Richards
Gagner
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
6
Richards
Gagner
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
10
3
Richards
Gagner
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
51.5% (928)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
35.0% (226)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Richards
Gagner
Home
50.8% (2,363)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Richards
Gagner
P1
49.6%
44.6%
P2
52.3%
46.1%
P3
49.3%
47.3%
OT
58.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Mike Richards |