Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.2% vs Gagner 44.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 59.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Richards
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Richards
Gagner
Last 7: Richards 3-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Richards
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Richards
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (370)
42.1% (575)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
55.3% (123)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
34.9% (43)
+4.1%
On even strength, Richards has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Richards is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Richards shoots left. Gagner is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Richards
Gagner
Home
52.3% (214)
45.6% (375)
Away
45.8% (227)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Richards
Gagner
P1
47.3%
40.1%
P2
53.2%
42.2%
P3
46.3%
48.2%
OT
60.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Mike Richards |