Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Zajac 54.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 27-21 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 75.2%
Defensive zone
Richards 70.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 70.7%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Richards
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
27
(48 meetings)
21
27
Richards
Zajac
Last 10: Richards 9-1 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
11
8
Richards
Zajac
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
8
9
Richards
Zajac
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
10
Richards
Zajac
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
54.4% (9,056)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
59.1% (1,498)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
48.6% (1,599)
+2.8%
On power play, Zajac has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Richards
Zajac
Home
50.8% (2,363)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Richards
Zajac
P1
49.6%
53.8%
P2
52.3%
55.6%
P3
49.3%
53.6%
OT
58.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |