Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 59.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 56.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Richards
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Richards
Bozak
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
2
Richards
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Richards
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
6
Richards
Bozak
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
55.2% (1,990)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
48.0% (1,094)
+3.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Richards
Bozak
Home
50.8% (2,363)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Richards
Bozak
P1
49.6%
53.2%
P2
52.3%
52.8%
P3
49.3%
54.5%
OT
58.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Mike Richards |