Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 66.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 70.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 71.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Richards
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Richards
Seguin
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
8
4
Richards
Seguin
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
7
4
Richards
Seguin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
55.9% (810)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
49.3% (762)
+2.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Richards
Seguin
Home
50.8% (2,363)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Richards
Seguin
P1
49.6%
52.8%
P2
52.3%
53.3%
P3
49.3%
54.7%
OT
58.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |