Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Smith 53.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 50.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 50.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.9%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Richards
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Richards
Smith
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Richards
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
2
Richards
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Richards
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (943)
58.1% (322)
-10.2%
Power Play
61.1% (157)
36.8% (19)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (102)
32.6% (46)
+20.3%
On power play, Richards has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Richards is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Richards shoots left. Smith is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Richards
Smith
Home
50.9% (617)
58.8% (204)
Away
48.7% (599)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Richards
Smith
P1
45.4%
52.9%
P2
52.5%
56.3%
P3
51.3%
51.9%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Mike Richards |