Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 62.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Richards
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Richards
Smith
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
5
Richards
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
4
Richards
Smith
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
5
Richards
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
51.2% (342)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
45.3% (985)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Richards
Smith
Home
50.8% (2,363)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Richards
Smith
P1
49.6%
49.9%
P2
52.3%
50.0%
P3
49.3%
51.9%
OT
58.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |