Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Richards wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Smith 52.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 60.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 79.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 64.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Richards
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Smith
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Richards
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Richards
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
53.0% (1,048)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
57.4% (47)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
50.0% (196)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Richards shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Richards
Smith
Home
57.0% (444)
53.9% (629)
Away
51.0% (463)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Richards
Smith
P1
53.4%
50.4%
P2
55.8%
51.8%
P3
51.9%
56.4%
OT
66.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |