Mike Santorelli vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Patrick 51.0% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 51.4%
Defensive zone
Patrick 54.5%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 51.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Santorelli
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
50.6% (1,978)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
57.5% (120)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
57.7% (26)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Santorelli is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (722).
Santorelli shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Patrick
Home
50.4% (1,079)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Santorelli
Patrick
P1
51.0%
52.9%
P2
49.7%
49.1%
P3
47.6%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%