Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 50.2% vs Sestito 47.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sestito 55.2%
Defensive zone
Sestito 65.7%
Neutral zone
Sestito 60.0%
Result
Tim Sestito favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Santorelli
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Santorelli
Sestito
Last 6: Santorelli 2-4 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Santorelli
Sestito
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
1
Santorelli
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
1
2
Santorelli
Sestito
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (754)
45.7% (230)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.9% (183)
62.5% (8)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (87)
33.3% (12)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Santorelli shoots right. Sestito is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Sestito
Home
50.0% (502)
46.5% (142)
Away
50.4% (530)
45.0% (111)
By Period
Santorelli
Sestito
P1
53.4%
43.9%
P2
50.4%
50.0%
P3
46.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |