Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Sestito 46.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sestito 52.5%
Defensive zone
Sestito 68.8%
Neutral zone
Sestito 59.1%
Result
Tim Sestito favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Santorelli
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Santorelli
Sestito
Last 8: Santorelli 3-5 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
1
2
Santorelli
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
1
Santorelli
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Santorelli
Sestito
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
45.7% (457)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
55.6% (9)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
34.2% (38)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Santorelli shoots right. Sestito is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Sestito
Home
50.4% (1,079)
48.0% (273)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Santorelli
Sestito
P1
51.0%
42.5%
P2
49.7%
42.1%
P3
47.6%
52.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |