Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 54.6% vs Smith 51.6% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 52.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Santorelli
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Santorelli
Smith
Last 5: Santorelli 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Santorelli
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Santorelli
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
52.6% (635)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
45.5% (44)
+14.5%
On power play, Santorelli has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Santorelli is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Santorelli shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Smith
Home
62.3% (53)
53.4% (371)
Away
56.1% (41)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Santorelli
Smith
P1
51.6%
50.2%
P2
70.6%
52.2%
P3
55.2%
52.7%
Final 5 min
66.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
59.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |