Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 63.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 69.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Santorelli
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Santorelli
Smith
Last 10: Santorelli 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Santorelli
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Santorelli
Smith
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
3
2
Santorelli
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
51.6% (5,265)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
51.2% (342)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
45.3% (985)
+3.2%
On power play, Santorelli has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Santorelli shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Smith
Home
50.4% (1,079)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Santorelli
Smith
P1
51.0%
49.9%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
47.6%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Zack Smith |