Joe Thornton vs Mikhail Grabovski
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Grabovski 48.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 85.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 80.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 83.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Thornton
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thornton
Grabovski
Last 7: Thornton 6-1 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Grabovski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Grabovski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Grabovski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
47.8% (992)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
51.4% (222)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
42.9% (77)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Thornton shoots left. Grabovski is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Thornton
Grabovski
Home
54.9% (597)
50.0% (658)
Away
54.0% (643)
46.9% (668)
By Period
Thornton
Grabovski
P1
53.0%
49.3%
P2
51.2%
47.2%
P3
57.8%
48.4%
OT
72.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
59.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |