Mikhail Grabovski vs Ryan O'Reilly
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 51.3% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 66.8%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 61.0%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 64.2%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Last 5: Grabovski 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
0
Grabovski
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Grabovski
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Grabovski
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (786)
52.5% (1,177)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.2% (85)
54.6% (130)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (19)
52.8% (108)
-0.2%
On power play, Grabovski has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Grabovski is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Grabovski shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Home
51.5% (497)
54.9% (669)
Away
51.5% (408)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Grabovski
O'Reilly
P1
47.7%
52.4%
P2
52.5%
56.1%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |