Mikhail Grabovski vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 50.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Grabovski 58.2%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 53.9%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 56.2%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Last 10: Grabovski 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
3
1
Grabovski
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Grabovski
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Grabovski
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,443)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.1% (459)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
51.4% (2,811)
-6.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Grabovski is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,613).
Grabovski shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Grabovski
O'Reilly
Home
51.0% (2,090)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.3% (1,966)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Grabovski
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
49.9%
57.0%
P3
50.6%
55.1%
OT
53.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |