Chris Wagner vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wagner wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Grigorenko 44.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 73.3%
Defensive zone
Wagner 67.7%
Neutral zone
Wagner 69.8%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Wagner
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Wagner
Grigorenko
Last 8: Wagner 5-3 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Wagner
Grigorenko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
4
0
Wagner
Grigorenko
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
43.4% (311)
+12.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (8)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
40.0% (30)
-4.3%
On power play, Grigorenko has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Wagner shoots right. Grigorenko is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Wagner
Grigorenko
Home
56.7% (120)
44.8% (172)
Away
51.9% (154)
41.8% (177)
By Period
Wagner
Grigorenko
P1
53.6%
36.6%
P2
53.7%
51.8%
P3
54.9%
42.6%
Final 5 min
62.3%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |