Mikhail Grigorenko vs Ryan Kesler
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 46.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 67.3%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 65.5%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 67.5%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Grigorenko
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Grigorenko
Kesler
Last 9: Grigorenko 3-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Grigorenko
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Grigorenko
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Grigorenko
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,033)
56.4% (8,095)
-11.1%
Power Play
56.0% (50)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (65)
50.5% (1,908)
+8.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Grigorenko is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Grigorenko shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Kesler
Home
51.1% (567)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
42.0% (581)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Grigorenko
Kesler
P1
43.8%
56.5%
P2
47.1%
55.9%
P3
48.7%
56.1%
OT
66.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |