Mikhail Grigorenko vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Grigorenko wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 44.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.4%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 67.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Grigorenko 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (311)
43.2% (695)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
53.8% (104)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
54.2% (24)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Grigorenko is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Grigorenko shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.8% (172)
48.2% (465)
Away
41.8% (177)
40.5% (358)
By Period
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
36.6%
40.8%
P2
51.8%
41.3%
P3
42.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
35.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |