Mikhail Grigorenko vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Grigorenko wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 46.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.5%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 52.1%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 50.9%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Grigorenko 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,033)
44.9% (8,756)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.0% (50)
50.7% (839)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (65)
37.9% (879)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Grigorenko is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Grigorenko shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.1% (567)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
42.0% (581)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.8%
45.1%
P2
47.1%
43.9%
P3
48.7%
45.3%
OT
66.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |