Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Maltsev wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Maltsev 47.7% vs Dowd 55.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Maltsev 93.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.1%
Neutral zone
Maltsev 75.1%
Result
Mikhail Maltsev favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Maltsev
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Maltsev
Dowd
Last 5: Maltsev 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Maltsev
1
0
Maltsev
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Maltsev
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Maltsev
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
58.2% (617)
-12.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
71.4% (7)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.2% (144)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Maltsev is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Maltsev shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Maltsev
Dowd
Home
46.2% (91)
58.4% (399)
Away
46.4% (69)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Maltsev
Dowd
P1
40.4%
59.0%
P2
56.4%
56.1%
P3
41.5%
54.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |