Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.7%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Maltsev 50.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Maltsev 78.6%
Defensive zone
Maltsev 57.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.2%
Result
Mikhail Maltsev favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Maltsev
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Maltsev
Dowd
Last 5: Maltsev 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Maltsev
1
0
Maltsev
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Maltsev
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Maltsev
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (259)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.1% (164)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.1% (1,635)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Maltsev is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Maltsev shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Maltsev
Dowd
Home
48.9% (141)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
51.6% (122)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Maltsev
Dowd
P1
46.7%
51.7%
P2
55.7%
50.4%
P3
48.2%
50.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
50.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |