Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Maltsev wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Maltsev 47.7% vs Lafferty 51.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Maltsev 83.7%
Defensive zone
Maltsev 63.8%
Neutral zone
Maltsev 68.4%
Result
Mikhail Maltsev favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Maltsev
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Maltsev
Lafferty
Last 9: Maltsev 2-7 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Maltsev
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
4
Maltsev
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Maltsev
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Maltsev
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
53.5% (101)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Maltsev is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Maltsev shoots left. Lafferty is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Maltsev
Lafferty
Home
46.2% (91)
50.0% (62)
Away
46.4% (69)
55.8% (43)
By Period
Maltsev
Lafferty
P1
40.4%
70.0%
P2
56.4%
37.8%
P3
41.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |