Scouting Report
Mikhail Maltsev holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Maltsev wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Maltsev 53.4% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Maltsev 70.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 58.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 61.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Maltsev
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Maltsev
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Maltsev
1
0
Maltsev
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Maltsev
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Maltsev
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (74)
40.9% (232)
+18.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Maltsev is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Maltsev shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Maltsev
Lafferty
Home
57.8% (45)
38.2% (123)
Away
58.1% (31)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Maltsev
Lafferty
P1
63.0%
41.6%
P2
59.3%
36.7%
P3
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
57.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |