Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Koivu 53.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 75.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 72.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 73.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Shaw
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Shaw
Koivu
Last 8: Shaw 5-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
53.6% (739)
-9.2%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
56.2% (137)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
53.7% (95)
-33.7%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Koivu is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Shaw
Koivu
Home
45.5% (224)
56.0% (495)
Away
42.5% (233)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Shaw
Koivu
P1
39.1%
54.9%
P2
41.7%
53.5%
P3
50.3%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |