Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Gionta wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 47.3% vs Koivu 55.8% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 51.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 56.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 52.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Gionta
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gionta
Koivu
Last 5: Gionta 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
0
Gionta
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gionta
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Gionta
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (58)
56.6% (1,247)
-16.9%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
61.6% (344)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
41.3% (167)
+3.1%
On even strength, Koivu has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Gionta is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Gionta shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Gionta
Koivu
Home
41.4% (70)
58.1% (850)
Away
50.0% (50)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Gionta
Koivu
P1
27.6%
55.3%
P2
56.9%
57.2%
P3
43.6%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
77.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
45.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |