Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Koivu 55.8% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 87.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 58.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 71.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Tierney
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tierney
Koivu
Last 6: Tierney 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Tierney
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
56.6% (1,247)
-10.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
61.6% (344)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
41.3% (167)
+2.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Tierney
Koivu
Home
48.5% (394)
58.1% (850)
Away
43.1% (411)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Tierney
Koivu
P1
48.7%
55.3%
P2
49.0%
57.2%
P3
40.6%
55.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |