Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wright wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.7% vs Koivu 54.5% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 68.7%
Defensive zone
Wright 73.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 50.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Wright
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wright
Koivu
Last 5: Wright 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Wright
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
0
Wright
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
0
Wright
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (155)
54.0% (948)
-4.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.7% (225)
-58.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (113)
54.3% (138)
-10.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +58.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Wright is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Wright shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Wright
Koivu
Home
48.9% (133)
59.8% (669)
Away
44.9% (136)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Wright
Koivu
P1
49.5%
53.4%
P2
41.4%
56.2%
P3
50.0%
56.3%
OT
100.0%
36.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | James Wright |