Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Koivu 52.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 65.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Arnott
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Arnott
Koivu
Last 6: Arnott 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Arnott
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
51.7% (842)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
55.2% (248)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
55.6% (178)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Arnott shoots right. Koivu is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Arnott
Koivu
Home
51.1% (460)
54.1% (621)
Away
49.3% (434)
51.6% (672)
By Period
Arnott
Koivu
P1
45.3%
52.0%
P2
54.2%
55.5%
P3
49.8%
51.2%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |