Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 52.6% vs Koivu 52.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 64.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 59.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.6%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Hendricks
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hendricks
Koivu
Last 5: Hendricks 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Hendricks
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (233)
52.5% (802)
+2.4%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
52.0% (198)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
49.5% (105)
-11.0%
On power play, Hendricks has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Hendricks is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Hendricks shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Koivu
Home
52.8% (142)
54.6% (584)
Away
54.5% (123)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Hendricks
Koivu
P1
64.9%
50.7%
P2
48.6%
51.1%
P3
49.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |