Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Rantanen 52.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 78.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 80.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Koivu
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Koivu
Rantanen
Last 6: Koivu 3-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Koivu
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Rantanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,219)
57.5% (40)
-2.2%
Power Play
63.5% (200)
60.0% (10)
+3.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Koivu shoots left. Rantanen is 69.4% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Koivu
Rantanen
Home
55.6% (846)
63.2% (19)
Away
54.9% (853)
54.8% (31)
By Period
Koivu
Rantanen
P1
57.4%
76.9%
P2
55.5%
60.0%
P3
52.6%
43.8%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |