Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Rantanen 50.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 90.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Koivu
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Koivu
Rantanen
Last 9: Koivu 5-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
4
Koivu
Rantanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
0
Koivu
Rantanen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
51.0% (1,522)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
50.8% (484)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
14.3% (7)
+34.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Koivu
Rantanen
Home
55.8% (6,577)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Koivu
Rantanen
P1
53.5%
49.0%
P2
54.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
51.8%
OT
56.5%
57.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |