Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 28-26 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 71.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 60.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Koivu
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
26
(54 meetings)
28
26
Koivu
Bonino
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
16
8
Koivu
Bonino
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
12
Koivu
Bonino
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
6
Koivu
Bonino
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
54.1% (972)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
44.6% (1,693)
+4.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bonino
Home
55.8% (6,577)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Koivu
Bonino
P1
53.5%
50.6%
P2
54.6%
48.5%
P3
54.0%
51.1%
OT
56.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |