Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Berglund 46.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 62.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 79.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 77.7%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Koivu
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Koivu
Berglund
Last 5: Koivu 4-1 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (842)
47.3% (792)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (248)
42.5% (134)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (178)
42.4% (33)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Koivu shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Koivu
Berglund
Home
54.1% (621)
46.8% (477)
Away
51.6% (672)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Koivu
Berglund
P1
52.0%
47.1%
P2
55.5%
46.3%
P3
51.2%
45.4%
OT
45.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |