Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 30 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Berglund 48.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 44-24 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 90.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 86.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 89.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Koivu
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
24
(68 meetings)
44
24
Koivu
Berglund
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
11
4
Koivu
Berglund
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
19
11
Koivu
Berglund
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
14
9
Koivu
Berglund
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
49.0% (4,697)
+5.0%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
51.3% (548)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
43.2% (461)
+5.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Home / Away
Koivu
Berglund
Home
55.8% (6,577)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Koivu
Berglund
P1
53.5%
49.3%
P2
54.6%
48.2%
P3
54.0%
49.0%
OT
56.5%
39.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |