Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 53.6% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 85.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 76.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 52.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Koivu
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Koivu
Gaustad
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
1
Koivu
Gaustad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Koivu
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (739)
59.8% (353)
-6.2%
Power Play
56.2% (137)
66.7% (15)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (95)
58.0% (81)
-4.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Koivu shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gaustad
Home
56.0% (495)
62.1% (195)
Away
51.9% (476)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Koivu
Gaustad
P1
54.9%
59.4%
P2
53.5%
58.1%
P3
53.6%
61.3%
OT
52.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2013 | OT | 02:26 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2013 | OT | 02:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 9, 2013 | OT | 01:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |