Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Asplund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Asplund 44.8% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 72.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 68.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Koivu
Asplund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Koivu
Asplund
Last 7: Koivu 4-3 Asplund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Asplund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Asplund
0
2
Koivu
Asplund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Asplund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Asplund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
41.3% (208)
+12.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
45.5% (11)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
48.8% (43)
+0.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Asplund shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Asplund is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Koivu
Asplund
Home
55.8% (6,577)
45.6% (125)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
40.1% (137)
By Period
Koivu
Asplund
P1
53.5%
47.1%
P2
54.6%
41.9%
P3
54.0%
36.6%
OT
56.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Asplund
48.0%▲
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |