Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Horak 43.9% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 95.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 89.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 94.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Koivu
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Koivu
Horak
Last 10: Koivu 10-0 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Horak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
1
Koivu
Horak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
41.8% (594)
+12.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
51.4% (37)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
57.9% (19)
-9.0%
On even strength, Koivu has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Koivu
Horak
Home
55.8% (6,577)
43.7% (325)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Koivu
Horak
P1
53.5%
42.4%
P2
54.6%
44.2%
P3
54.0%
42.6%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Roman Horak |