Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.1% vs Kesler 53.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 59.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 62.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 64.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Koivu
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Koivu
Kesler
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
1
Koivu
Kesler
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
5
Koivu
Kesler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (802)
53.8% (981)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.0% (198)
56.9% (160)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (105)
49.2% (185)
+0.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Koivu is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Koivu shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Koivu
Kesler
Home
54.6% (584)
54.1% (690)
Away
49.7% (539)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Koivu
Kesler
P1
50.7%
52.3%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
54.4%
56.3%
OT
57.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2011 | OT | 03:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |