Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 66 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 94-62 in 156 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 71.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 61.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Koivu
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
94
-
62
(156 meetings)
94
62
Koivu
Kesler
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
50
16
Koivu
Kesler
66 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
21
25
Koivu
Kesler
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
23
21
Koivu
Kesler
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
56.4% (8,095)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
60.7% (1,437)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
50.5% (1,908)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Koivu
Kesler
Home
55.8% (6,577)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Koivu
Kesler
P1
53.5%
56.5%
P2
54.6%
55.9%
P3
54.0%
56.1%
OT
56.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |