Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Kesler 58.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 54.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 86.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 69.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Koivu
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Koivu
Kesler
Last 10: Koivu 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
2
Koivu
Kesler
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Koivu
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
58.6% (1,138)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
64.5% (186)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
55.0% (351)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Koivu
Kesler
Home
58.1% (850)
61.0% (859)
Away
54.3% (908)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Koivu
Kesler
P1
55.3%
59.1%
P2
57.2%
56.5%
P3
55.1%
60.5%
OT
77.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2016 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2016 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2016 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |