Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.1% vs Kesler 55.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 56.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 57.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Koivu
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Koivu
Kesler
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
0
Koivu
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Koivu
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Koivu
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (672)
55.7% (741)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.5% (115)
67.0% (100)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (107)
50.0% (204)
-0.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Koivu is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Koivu shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Koivu
Kesler
Home
56.6% (410)
52.5% (522)
Away
52.9% (484)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Koivu
Kesler
P1
51.7%
56.7%
P2
56.7%
56.8%
P3
55.3%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |