Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Gagner 48.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 62.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 91.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 81.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Koivu
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Koivu
Gagner
Last 7: Koivu 5-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Koivu
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,219)
46.5% (310)
+8.8%
Power Play
63.5% (200)
50.4% (115)
+13.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Koivu is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Koivu shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gagner
Home
55.6% (846)
52.4% (212)
Away
54.9% (853)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Koivu
Gagner
P1
57.4%
46.2%
P2
55.5%
52.2%
P3
52.6%
43.6%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |