Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 31 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 39-25 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 73.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 95.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 92.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Koivu
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
25
(64 meetings)
39
25
Koivu
Gagner
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
7
8
Koivu
Gagner
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
21
10
Koivu
Gagner
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
11
7
Koivu
Gagner
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.6%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
51.5% (928)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
35.0% (226)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gagner
Home
55.8% (6,577)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Koivu
Gagner
P1
53.5%
44.6%
P2
54.6%
46.1%
P3
54.0%
47.3%
OT
56.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 14, 2018 | OT | 00:28 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |