Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 74.7%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 84.9%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 61.6%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Koivu
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Koivu
Pahlsson
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
5
Koivu
Pahlsson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
16
Koivu
Pahlsson
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
8
6
Koivu
Pahlsson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
53.0% (1,716)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
60.0% (35)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
49.8% (548)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
Koivu
Pahlsson
Home
55.8% (6,577)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Koivu
Pahlsson
P1
53.5%
54.6%
P2
54.6%
50.7%
P3
54.0%
51.8%
OT
56.5%
44.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 27, 2010 | OT | 02:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 27, 2010 | OT | 00:34 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |