Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 53 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 64-59 in 123 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 68.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Koivu
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
64
(123 meetings)
59
64
Koivu
Crosby
Last 10: Koivu 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
17
36
Koivu
Crosby
53 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
20
6
Koivu
Crosby
26 total
Neutral Zone
Even
22
22
Koivu
Crosby
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
57.4% (4,733)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
47.1% (765)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Koivu
Crosby
Home
55.8% (6,577)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Koivu
Crosby
P1
53.5%
53.6%
P2
54.6%
53.9%
P3
54.0%
53.3%
OT
56.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |