Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.2%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.1% vs Weiss 53.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 65.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.1%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Koivu
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Koivu
Weiss
Last 7: Koivu 5-2 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Weiss
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (802)
53.3% (1,038)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.0% (198)
55.6% (268)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (105)
45.4% (119)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Koivu shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (955).
Home / Away
Koivu
Weiss
Home
54.6% (584)
55.2% (764)
Away
49.7% (539)
50.9% (705)
By Period
Koivu
Weiss
P1
50.7%
55.7%
P2
51.1%
52.3%
P3
54.4%
53.0%
OT
57.6%
35.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |