Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Weiss 53.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 53.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 62.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 58.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Koivu
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Koivu
Weiss
Last 8: Koivu 5-3 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Weiss
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Weiss
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Koivu
Weiss
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
53.0% (2,521)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
54.6% (560)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
49.4% (245)
-0.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,175).
Home / Away
Koivu
Weiss
Home
55.8% (6,577)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Koivu
Weiss
P1
53.5%
53.5%
P2
54.6%
54.2%
P3
54.0%
52.2%
OT
56.5%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |