Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Stamkos 50.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 79.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Koivu
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Koivu
Stamkos
Last 8: Koivu 6-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
49.9% (771)
+6.7%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
55.4% (74)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
45.1% (82)
-3.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Koivu
Stamkos
Home
58.1% (850)
50.7% (487)
Away
54.3% (908)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Koivu
Stamkos
P1
55.3%
46.1%
P2
57.2%
52.0%
P3
55.1%
51.1%
OT
77.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |