Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 21-11 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 77.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 73.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Koivu
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
11
(32 meetings)
21
11
Koivu
Stamkos
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
6
Koivu
Stamkos
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
1
Koivu
Stamkos
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Koivu
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
50.4% (9,799)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
55.1% (1,725)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
49.7% (825)
-0.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Koivu
Stamkos
Home
55.8% (6,577)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Koivu
Stamkos
P1
53.5%
49.1%
P2
54.6%
52.7%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
56.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:04 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |